Cook Islands Told to Stay Alert Despite ‘Reduced’ Cyclone Risk

Via Google Images

The Cook Islands Meteorological Service is warning residents not to drop their guard, despite forecasts showing a reduced risk of cyclones for the 2025–2026 season.

Running from November to April, the official outlook predicts zero to one cyclone forming or passing through the Cook Islands’ Exclusive Economic Zone, as the El Niño–Southern Oscillation remains in a neutral to weak La Niña phase.

Meteorological Service director Maara Vaiimene said even a single system can cause major damage, stressing that tropical depressions — weaker systems that never become named cyclones — can still bring flooding, high seas and strong winds.

Last season’s Tropical Cyclone Pat, which weakened to a depression near Rarotonga and Mangaia, still caused hazardous conditions.

Regionally, between five and nine cyclones are expected across the Southwest Pacific, with up to four severe Category 3 or higher storms likely.

Emergency Management Cook Islands director John Strickland echoed the call for vigilance, warning that dry spells and drought are also possible this season.

Via Cook Island Tourism

Authorities are urging residents to secure loose items, clear gutters, keep basic supplies stocked, and follow all weather updates via local radio and TV. Preparedness guides and evacuation details can also be found in the Vodafone Cook Islands phone directory.